Think about Current Situation

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Current situations in Myanmar are likely to become Ukraine crisis. Most of the people living in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, eastern parts of Ukraine, speak Russian. After the 2014 coup in Ukraine under the name of Orange Revolution backed by the U.S, pro-U.S. Zelensky’s party took office. Since then, rebellion supported by Russia against the Ukrainian Government has become intensified.

The Ukrainian Government heavily suppressed rebels to halt secession from Ukraine. Russia ever protests the Ukrainian Government’s suppression of rebels, saying that the Ukraine’s actions inflict on Russians. However, Russia could not interfere in the Ukrainian Government’s suppression of rebels in Ukraine’s territory.

Under the circumstances, Zelensky started to join US-led NATO. Russia warned Ukraine not to join NATO. As the Zelensky’s administration is the U.S’ puppet government, Zelensky stubbornly stepped up his efforts to join NATO. In this context, Russia waged a war against Ukraine under the reason of national security.

In fact, Russia has got a reason to wage a war against Ukraine.

Russia captured Donetsk and Luhansk regions in eastern Ukraine and made a referendum, resulting in joining with Russia. Both Ukraine and U.S are not able to do anything.

Likewise, northern Shan State in Myanmar becomes the Ukraine crisis.

China has been supporting manpower, weapons and technology (FN-6 and drones) to insurgents while it is pressuring the Government during the crisis in northern Shan State.

All armed insurgents in Myanmar just focus to secede from Myanmar. Now, some lobbies openly voice they would like to stay under the rule of China. The path paved by China becomes obvious. It does not make contact with the official government and arranged the plans for its subordinate rebel groups to control the areas in northern Shan State as in ‘Wa’s areas. If Myanmar government does not follow its plans, China will vividly intrude Myanmar’s territory like Ukrain crisis by saying bullets strayed into it hurt lives and property of Chinese citizens.

After that, China’s minion who has controlled the areas will try to join with China without merely making referendum. Kokang will take responsibility to shell into China’s territory. Recently, people who have watched the video on which Kokang people are intentionally firing rockets into China’s territory would realize the afore-mentioned fact.

If the Tatmadaw does not follow the path as China panned, it will directly confront with China. If so, the situation in northern Shan State will be the same in eastern Ukraine.

China has the reason of Kyar Phyant online scams. Fortunately, Myanmar does not pose China’s security. Additionally, as China has some interests in Myanmar, it is weighing the consequences of the actions. It is sounding out the response of Myanmar people about its attempt. But China would not do the plot like Russia. It would do the acts like the plot of capturing Hawaii by U.S.

In northern Shan State, Chinese people will get marry with local resident. Again, they will enter those areas as associate citizenship. When a certain time comes, the new generation born in northern Shan State would participate in political and military affairs. Then they would declare to join with China.

Genuine Myanmar citizens can no longer have the opportunity to speak out the political and military affairs in northern Shan State.

It means to say that only dependent armed people on China and their descendant will be leading political and military affairs in northern Shan State they have controlled. Ordinary people have to just keep silent.

This course will lead northern Shan State to official territory of China over 30 to 40 years. We all should see the China’s plot. Where is Federal Democracy? Where is Spring Revolution? Charlatans, silly persons and blind supporters should slightly think about current situation. Current armed clashes are not the armed conflicts among Myanmar ethnic people. They should realize that the current situation is related with China who is shaping northern Shan State like Ukraine.

The situation in Myanmar is nearly collapsed. It is hard to redeem some losses. We all should realize China’s attempt to change the map of Myanmar if we want to maintain our territorial integrity.

Some people are making a wrong choice. It is amazing that they are thinking they win a victory in this situation although some areas of Myanmar will be chipped off by China. Recently, the Ukraine crisis is still ongoing. People should learn from it. If you all think about it from every point of view, you would see some doubtful factors. This is the clarification of my thought for ongoing display of the situation. If it actually becomes, Chinese and Myanmar people will be the same like Russian and Ukrainian people.



Moe Tint Swe

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